Latest Newsletter🍵 New alcohol/cancer study in AsiansRead


Experts Predict That China’s Population Will Be Cut 50% By 2100

    Asian America Daily - in under 5 minutes

    Get our collection of Asian America's most essential stories, to your inbox daily, for free!

    Unsure? Check out our Newsletter Archive

    China’s population could go down to as much as a billion by the end of the century, according to scholars at this year’s World Economic Forum. With approximately 1.3 billion citizens, the country is the world’s most populous nation to date.

    The estimate was made by Zheng Zhenzhen of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. China’s population was last at one billion people in 1980, People’s Daily noted.

    Some experts even disagree with Zheng’s estimate, saying that a billion may actually be too much. University of Wisconsin’s Huang Wenzhen predicted that the country’s population will 580 million by 2100 and 280 million by 2150, factoring in birth policy, birth rate and increasing life expectancy.

    The Central Committee of China’s Communist Party announced the lift of the country’s one-child policy back in October, ending decades of restraint that began in the late 1970’s. At the time, it had been brutally enforced with expensive fines, forced sterilizations and abortions, according to the Washington Post.

    Since January 1, 2016, all couples are permitted to have a second baby. As a result, demographer Lu Jiehua told the outlet that a baby boom is expected in 2017 and 2018. These second babies will now be considered legal.

    As per National Geographic, China chose to end its one-child policy after an imbalance of men and older people outweighed the younger demographic. The policy was originally conceived to boost economic growth, but if it continued, the country would suffer a diminished workforce and aging population altogether.

    For now, Huang pointed that only 17 million babies are born each year. Things will be even more challenging as Chinese women aged 23 to 30 are expected to decrease by 40% in the next decade.

    The United Nations, however, appears more optimistic. In its 2015 World Populations Prospects, the organization predicted China’s population to hit as much as 1.004 billion by the end of the century, though the projected lower limit is 613 million. The world, on the other hand, is purported to have 11.213 billion people.

    The debate on China’s future population will go on, but it may be beneficial to wait few more years to observe changes coming from the one-child policy lift.

    Support our Journalism with a Contribution

    Many people might not know this, but despite our large and loyal following which we are immensely grateful for, NextShark is still a small bootstrapped startup that runs on no outside funding or loans.

    Everything you see today is built on the backs of warriors who have sacrificed opportunities to help give Asians all over the world a bigger voice.

    However, we still face many trials and tribulations in our industry, from figuring out the most sustainable business model for independent media companies to facing the current COVID-19 pandemic decimating advertising revenues across the board.

    We hope you consider making a contribution so we can continue to provide you with quality content that informs, educates and inspires the Asian community. Even a $1 contribution goes a long way.  Thank you for everyone's support. We love you all and can't appreciate you guys enough.

    Support NextShark

    Mastercard, Visa, Amex, Discover, Paypal